THE ROBOTAXI RACE

Involved in fatal crashes: 0

No deaths in any Robotaxi-service crash since the June 2025 launch

Consumer Autopilot / FSD cars are a separate program and are not counted here

Jul 2025 – Mar 2026 · 2 minor-injury crashes, 1 requiring hospitalization

36 unique Robotaxi incident reports on file with NHTSA's Standing General Order as of its September data release (up from 23 a month earlier), incl. two August crashes while remote operators were driving — five crash reports now involve a remote operator at the controls. A newly reported August filing shows a Cybercab with a safety monitor aboard drove into a water-filled pothole in an Austin parking lot at ~5 mph (no injuries, no passengers); the Austin American-Statesman counts 26 Austin Robotaxi crashes since the June 2025 launch. The 2 SGO injury crashes date from the earlier, monitor-era period; Tesla's new safety report, which covers only driverless miles, claims zero injuries. Most crashes were other drivers' fault. No matched per-mile rate can be computed.

Not calculable yet — Tesla's new Robotaxi Safety Report (Oct 21) self-reports ~3.1M driverless miles (Jan 22–Oct 18, safety-monitor miles excluded) with zero injuries or airbag deployments, but it publishes no count of non-injury collisions and NHTSA's crash file uses different cutoffs and includes monitor-era crashes, so no matched crashes-per-million-miles rate can be computed

Tesla's own benchmark says human drivers would have had ~9.1 injury collisions over the same miles; its methodology is not published and the data is not independently verified. Historical context only: an early-Austin estimate (Feb 2026) put the rate around 9–18 per million miles — 14 crashes ÷ ~0.8M estimated miles, most driven with safety monitors aboard — roughly 4× a human benchmark. That estimate covers a different window, fleet, and driving mode than Waymo's figures and is not comparable to them. Robotaxis must also report every minor contact while humans only generate police reports.

SF Bay Area not counted — rides there still require a human safety driver · Oct 21: Tesla named Las Vegas, Jacksonville, Phoenix and San Antonio as “coming soon” (no dates) and said Cybercab service launches in Dallas next month · Austin hours run 6 a.m.–midnight; Tesla says 2 a.m. “pretty soon” and 24/7 before year-end; geofence extended to Circuit of the Americas with 1 a.m. hours for the Grand Prix (Oct 23) · Unsupervised FSD for customer cars pushed to ~Q2 2027, starting with owner cars joining the Robotaxi network inside its zones · Tesla aims to sell Cybercabs to customers by end of 2026; its answers to NHTSA's Cybercab certification audit are due Oct 30 · NHTSA defect-petition file DP26010 (opened Oct 9) on alleged school-zone speeding covers ~1,000 vehicles; no crashes reported · Las Vegas NTA permit for up to 5,000 vehicles granted Aug 20; no service start yet

Tesla's own fleet claim: “300+ Cybercabs serving Austin” (Robotaxi account on X, Oct 10); on the Oct 21 Q3 call Musk said the Austin Cybercab fleet has grown tenfold since rides began Sep 3 · Community tracking (RobotaxiTracker, via The Motley Fool, Oct 14) counts 277 in-service vehicles in Austin, 107 of them Cybercabs — below Tesla's figure · Texas registrations jumped to 970 (507 Model Y + 463 Cybercab) on our Oct 25–26 pulls, up from 803 (454 + 349) on Oct 17 — registered ≠ deployed (TxDMV registrations via robotaxireport.com daily sync) · NHTSA estimates ~1,000 Model Y + Cybercab Robotaxis in its school-zone petition file · Tesla still discloses no total fleet number